Prediction of Gerard Campana Lee vs Benjamin Torrealba at M15 Lima 10 Dec 2025

• Gerard Campana Lee has shown better second serve performance, securing 44.84% of points, whereas Benjamin Torrealba managed 41.18%. Could this be crucial in determining match outcomes? Potentially, as second serve success has a strong correlation with winning.
• When it comes to returning, Lee edges ahead in the second serve return statistics, winning 49.29% of points compared to Torrealba's 47.61%. The margin narrows with first serve returns; Lee leads with 31.17%, just slightly more than Torrealba's 30.37%.
• Despite a stronger overall top-line match win percentage over the past year (54% for Torrealba to Lee's 43.55%), Torrealba may struggle with pressure. Lee's weaker breakpoint save rate of 48.68% contrasts Torrealba's 52.16% efficiency under pressure.
• Both players excel on clay, each maintaining a career win percentage of 51% on this surface, suggesting this commonality might neutralize any clay-specific advantage.
• Lee primarily competes in Challenger and ITF tournaments, winning 41.18% of his matches. Torrealba, playing more within the Futures/ITF arena, boasts a 58.97% win rate. Does this tournament level difference affect their head-to-head prediction? Likely, as it implies variance in competition intensity.
• Playing against tougher competition, Torrealba faces opponents with an average ranking of 333.14, relative to Lee's average opponent rank of 387.73.
• In matches requiring a deciding set, Torrealba has demonstrated a higher success rate of 50%, compared to Lee's 26% win rate, suggesting greater resilience in tightly contested scenarios.
• Torrealba also seems superior in break point conversions, succeeding 40.27% of the time, surpassing Lee's 35.87%. This could be pivotal in in-game dynamics and could influence betting strategies during the match.

Editorial Prediction (December 10, 2025, UTC):

As we assess the upcoming match between Gerard Campana Lee and Benjamin Torrealba, several statistics provide insights into each player’s capabilities.

Campana Lee has an edge when it comes to second serve effectiveness and general return game proficiency. His performance under pressure, however, slightly falters compared to Torrealba, who saves breakpoints more consistently.

Favoring Torrealba are indicators such as a decisive advantage in breakpoint conversion and triumphing in deciding sets. His experience against stronger opponents and higher win rate in lower-tier tournaments bolster his competitive profile.

Considering all factors, while Lee reveals certain strengths, Torrealba's robust performance in high-stake situations and against tougher competition make him the likely victor in this encounter.